Itaú BBA - Weekly Elections Monitor – Joaquim Barbosa (PSB) announces that he does not intend to be a candidate

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Weekly Elections Monitor – Joaquim Barbosa (PSB) announces that he does not intend to be a candidate

May 8, 2018

This is the second edition of our weekly report on the 2018 elections.

(full report attached)

This is the second edition of our weekly report on the 2018 elections, presenting the trends in voting intention polls and social media, a calendar of key events, a monitor of economic policy signals by pre-candidates and their parties, special comments, and the election news flow. Enjoy your reading!

Joaquim Barbosa (PSB) announced on his official Twitter account that he does not intend to be a presidential candidate.

The latest national poll on voting intentions, carried out by Instituto Paraná, showed declines for Lula (PT) and Marina Silva (REDE), and gains for Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) and Joaquim Barbosa (PSB) compared to previous surveys.

Regional surveys, carried out by Instituto Múltipla in Pernambuco and FIERN/CERTUS in Rio Grande do Norte, indicated that Lula remains strong in these states, but his voting intentions declined in both states if compared to previous polls (especially in Rio Grande do Norte).

In social media, Bolsonaro still has the highest number of followers, but his growth is slowing down. João Amoedo (NOVO) showed substantial increase of followers in the recent weeks. On Twitter, the “security” theme was the most mentioned, while “corruption” lost momentum at the margin.

The local news flow highlighted difficulties and standstills regarding possible alliances between pre-candidates (see the weekly news flow).

Our monitor of economic policy signals highlights interviews by Persio Arida, Geraldo Alckmin’s (PSDB)  chief economic advisor; Mauro Benevides Filho, one of the responsibles for Ciro Gomes’s (PDT) economic program; Marina Silva (REDE); and Álvaro Dias (PODE).



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