Itaú BBA - Weekly Elections Monitor – How is the main candidates’ regional performance?

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Weekly Elections Monitor – How is the main candidates’ regional performance?

June 12, 2018

The main candidates have lower voting intentions today than in past elections in most states

(full report attached)

Special comment: We have analyzed regional polls to compare candidates’ current performance with that of past elections. Overall, the main candidates have lower voting intentions today than in past elections in most states. The presence of Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) in the 2018 race, as well as the high percentage of blank, null and undecided voters in current polls, explain most of the underperformance.

The Datafolha voting intentions poll, carried out after the truck drivers' stoppage, showed a relatively unchanged scenario compared to previous polls.

In social media, Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) leads both in total volume (7.2 million) and in weekly growth (+74 thousand last week) of followers.

Monitor of economic policy signs: Most pre-candidates (except PT’s) participated in interviews promoted by Correio Braziliense last week. The candidates stated that they are not against privatizations, but mentioned Petrobrás, Banco do Brasil and Caixa Econômica as exceptions. They defended a tax simplification program and recognized the need for a social security reform.

 



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